business

Canada’s Oilpatch Braces for M&A Surge Following Geopolitical Tensions

Deloitte predicts a surge in Canadian oil and gas M&A activity as geopolitical tensions ease and market stability returns to the Montney and Duvernay regions.

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3 months ago

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The Impact of Geopolitical Volatility on Energy Markets

The Canadian energy sector is standing at a crossroads of significant transformation. Following a period of intense geopolitical upheaval characterized by the U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict, industry experts are forecasting a substantial uptick in mergers and acquisitions (M&A). While the conflict previously pushed West Texas Intermediate (WTI) prices as high as US$115 per barrel, creating a massive gap between buyer expectations and seller demands, a recent two-week ceasefire has begun to stabilize the market.

Opportunities in the Montney and Duvernay Formations

According to Andrew Botterill, a partner at Deloitte Canada, the stabilization of crude prices—which recently dropped toward the US$96 mark—is essential for deal-making. While the oilsands remain dominated by a small group of major players with limited room for further consolidation, the Montney and Duvernay regions in Alberta and British Columbia are emerging as primary targets. These areas are recognized for their high-quality assets and repeatability economics, making them some of the most attractive energy plays globally.

Canada as a Global LNG Powerhouse

The recent disruptions in global supply, particularly the loss of production from major players like Qatar, have repositioned Canada as a critical, stable supplier of liquefied natural gas (LNG). Despite a slow ramp-up of the LNG Canada export terminal and a mild winter affecting domestic prices, the long-term outlook for Canadian gas remains bullish. Investors are increasingly viewing Canada as a ‘safe haven’ for capital, with expectations of several new export projects moving forward on the West Coast.

Long-Term Price Forecasts and Stability

Deloitte’s latest economic forecast suggests a gradual return to pre-war pricing levels, with WTI expected to average US$85 in 2026 and eventually settle near US$67.65 by 2028. This downward trend toward price normalization is expected to narrow the valuation gap that has stalled deals for years. As the ‘geopolitical mayhem’ eases, the combination of technological consistency and effective cost management by Canadian producers makes the sector ripe for a wave of consolidation that could redefine the domestic energy landscape.

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National Roundup: Alberta Proposes New B.C. Pipeline Amid Tribal Tensions and Stampede Kickoff

Alberta proposes a new B.C. pipeline as the Calgary Stampede kicks off. Plus, high airfares fail to deter travelers and U.S. tech dominates Canada’s cloud.

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4 days ago

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July 7, 2026

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Alberta Pushes New Pipeline Project to Pacific Coast

Alberta Premier Danielle Smith has formally submitted a proposal for a new bitumen pipeline to the British Columbia coast, signaling a potential shift in Canada’s energy landscape. The announcement, made alongside Prime Minister Mark Carney in Calgary, outlines a route that closely parallels the existing Trans Mountain path. While Smith emphasized that the project would generate billions in revenue and provide ‘transformational wealth’ for partnering Indigenous communities, the proposal arrives during a period of high friction. Relations between the Alberta government and several First Nations have been strained for over a year due to disputes regarding the duty to consult on constitutional matters and legal battles over provincial sovereignty.

The Calgary Stampede Begins with Olympic Flair

The city of Calgary has officially transitioned into festival mode with the launch of the world-famous Calgary Stampede. Leading this year’s parade are Olympic medalists Mikael Kingsbury and Courtney Sarault, who served as parade marshals for the downtown procession. Despite the early morning start, thousands of residents and tourists lined the streets to celebrate the region’s western heritage. The 10-day event remains a cornerstone of Alberta’s cultural and tourism economy, drawing international attention even as the province navigates complex political and industrial debates.

Economic Resilience: Travel Demand and Tech Dominance

Despite domestic airfares sitting 11 per cent higher than last year, Canadian travelers are showing remarkable resilience. Major carriers like Air Canada report that demand for summer flights remains in the ‘green,’ even as fuel costs fluctuate and international conflicts shift travel patterns. Meanwhile, a new report from the Canadian Anti-Monopoly Project reveals that U.S. tech giants Amazon, Microsoft, and Google currently control 85 per cent of Canada’s cloud infrastructure. This data arrives just as the federal government prepares to launch a national AI strategy focused on ‘sovereign compute infrastructure’ to ensure Canadian data and innovation remain under domestic governance.

Sports: Switzerland Advances at BC Place

On the pitch, Switzerland secured a 2-0 victory over Algeria at BC Place, keeping their World Cup aspirations alive while eliminating the North African side. The win ensures the Swiss team will remain in Vancouver for their third consecutive match next Tuesday. The tournament has drawn significant local support, highlighting the city’s role as a key host in the international soccer landscape.

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business

Markets Outlook: Trump Economic Forecasts, Fed Speculation, and Surging Prediction Volumes

Explore Monday’s market outlook featuring Trump’s economic interviews, surging prediction market volumes, and upcoming Fed minutes and corporate earnings.

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4 days ago

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July 6, 2026

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Mixed Market Open Following Historic Highs

Wall Street is bracing for a complex start to the week as stock futures show mixed movement on Monday morning. This cautious positioning comes on the heels of a triumphant week for equities, during which the Dow Jones Industrial Average reached a new all-time high. Investors are currently weighing a cooling labor market against the potential for shifting Federal Reserve policy, particularly after Thursday’s weaker-than-expected jobs report fueled optimism that interest rate hikes may finally be off the table.

Trump Discusses Economic Vision and AI Superiority

In a wide-ranging exclusive interview with CNBC, former President Donald Trump outlined a bold economic agenda ahead of the nation’s 250th anniversary. Trump emphasized a push for domestic independence in the semiconductor industry, stating he expects 40% to 60% of chip manufacturing to be based in the U.S. by the end of a potential second term. Furthermore, he labeled Artificial Intelligence as a technological shift “bigger than the internet,” asserting that the U.S. currently maintains a critical lead. Notably, Trump suggested the U.S. GDP should ideally sit between 12% and 13%, a target significantly higher than historical averages.

The Rise of Prediction Markets and Sports Diplomacy

The FIFA World Cup is driving unprecedented volume into prediction market platforms. Notional volume on Kalshi surged over 70% in June to exceed $31 billion, while Polymarket set a new record with over $10.8 billion in monthly volume. This surge in speculative interest coincides with high-stakes sports drama, as FIFA recently reversed a suspension for U.S. Men’s National Team striker Folarin Balogun following reports that Trump requested a review of the decision. Balogun is expected to play in today’s critical knockout match against Belgium.

Strategic Shifts in Consumer Behavior

Corporate earnings and consumer trends are also in focus this week. The Museum of American Finance has debuted its new Boston headquarters, featuring an AI-generated Alexander Hamilton, signaling a merger of historical education and modern tech. Meanwhile, the travel industry is seeing a shift away from the traditional “Eurosummer” as Americans increasingly opt for fall travel to avoid extreme heat waves and peak pricing. Investors will be monitoring this trend as Delta Air Lines, PepsiCo, and Levi Strauss prepare to report quarterly results later this week.

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business

The End of an Era: CBC to Stop Airing NHL Games as ‘Hockey Night in Canada’ Leaves Free TV

CBC and Sportsnet end their 74-year partnership, moving Hockey Night in Canada exclusively to Sportsnet and marking the end of free NHL games on Canadian TV.

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3 weeks ago

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June 17, 2026

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A Cultural Mainstay Fades from the Public Airwaves

For more than seven decades, Saturday nights in Canada were defined by the glowing blue light of the television and the iconic theme of Hockey Night in Canada. On Tuesday, that era officially came to a close as Sportsnet and CBC announced the termination of the sub-licensing agreement that kept NHL games on the public broadcaster. The move marks the end of a 74-year tradition of free hockey on Canadian television, shifting the national pastime exclusively behind a paywall.

The Economics of the Ice

The transition began in earnest in 2014 when Rogers Communications Inc. secured a massive $5.2-billion, 12-year national rights deal. While CBC continued to air the games through a partnership with Sportsnet, the landscape of media consumption has shifted dramatically. Rogers has now entered a new 12-year, $11-billion agreement with the NHL and is seeking to consolidate its viewership. According to Sportsnet spokesperson Jason Jackson, viewership for early Saturday night games on CBC had declined by 70 per cent since 2014, as fans increasingly migrated to digital platforms and specialty sports channels.

A Pivot Toward Amateur Sports

The loss of the NHL leaves a significant void in CBC’s prime-time programming, which previously relied on hockey to draw its largest weekly audiences. In response, the public broadcaster announced plans to launch a new Saturday night program focused on amateur, Olympic, and Paralympic athletes. While this aligns with CBC’s renewed focus on the amateur sector—a strategy adopted after being priced out of professional hockey rights—the move signals a fundamental change in how Canadians access their most popular sport.

The Normalized Pay-to-Play Model

Industry experts suggest that the public’s appetite for streaming services has made this transition possible. Michael Naraine, an associate professor at Brock University, noted that Rogers is no longer concerned about a public backlash over the removal of hockey from free TV. With the normalization of over-the-top streaming services and the rising cost of sports rights, Rogers is positioning its media division as a premium offering, particularly as it moves toward full ownership of Maple Leaf Sports and Entertainment.

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